Noseda To Nab Newbury Showpiece

The Cammidge Stakes (Saturday 1.50) was first run in 1988 and takes place at Doncaster on the same card as the famous Lincoln Handicap. It is a Listed race run over 6 furlongs and 2 yards.

Cammidge Stakes 10-Year-Trends

No winner in the last decade has been drawn lower than stall 3.
Winners have been aged between four and eight.
Weights carried to victory range from 9-2 to 9-8.
Seven of the last 10 winners hadn’t run for between 133 and 202 days prior to victory.
Only one of the last 10 winners had won their previous outing.
SP’s of the winners have ranged from as short as 15/8 up to 22/1.

Cammidge Stakes 2019 Runner-By-Runner Guide

Rated 107 on the back of place efforts in the International Handicap and the Group 3 York Stakes but has yet to win above class five level. His trainer Hugo Palmer has also yet to hit full-stride. Each-way chances but may find at least a couple too good.

Highly-touted but has yet to win above class three level and has finished unplaced in all four of the group races he’s contested. Improvement is expected as a four-year-old and his best performance so far came when winning by eight-lengths over course and distance. His stable is also finishing March in red-hot form and the booking of Doncaster specialist jockey Andrea Atzeni for the first time catches the eye.

Invincible Army
The highest-rated horse in the field on a mark of 112 and his two-year-old form and that of his first two runs as a three-year-old means he deserves to be favourite. However, he flopped twice after that and it’s concerning that he hasn’t been seen for 252 days.

Major Jumbo
Rated 107, which is his highest mark and five pounds higher than when winning a handicap on his last start. Seems to like the competitive nature of big-field handicap but did finish second in a weaker looking Listed Race on his only other previous try at this level. His stable has had just one winner in March.

Highly-tried as a two-year-old, when he won at this level, and was rated seven pounds higher at the end of his two-year-old career. Forced to have 21 months off the track though before returning with a decent run behind Kachy on the all-weather. Not completely ruled out but has something to prove.

Sir Thomas Gresham
Won his first two starts as three-year-old, having not raced at two, but hasn’t suggested he’s up to this class in his last two runs in a Listed race and a handicap.

Tis Marvellous
Won a group two on just his third run but it took him another 12 runs to record his next win, which came in a handicap off a mark of 100 last season. Has a bit to find after struggling off a higher mark in his next two handicaps.

Gorgeous Noora
Finished in front of Mokarris and Sir Thomas Gresham two starts ago on the all-weather but is three pounds worse off today. She also has to prove that she can translate her recent improvement on artificial surfaces to turf, but there’s no reason why she can’t. Still has a bit to find on ratings.

Has run well on all three of her previous starts at Doncaster but, whilst she could run on late to nick a place, there’s a suspicion she may ideally be suited by an extra furlong on this type of ground.

Cammidge Stakes 2019 Verdict

Invincible Army is rated five pounds higher than any of his rivals and, if the money comes for him beforehand, he could be tough to beat. However, his long absence is a bit worrying.

That’s why it could be worth taking a chance that Equilateral can start living up to the hype that has surrounded him since he won by eight-lengths over this course and distance. He does have to find improvement, but could do so returned to this course, with his stable in excellent form, and Andrea Atzeni in the saddle for the first time.

Cammidge Stakes 2019 Free Tip: Equilateral @ 5.00 WilliamHill