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2 picks published · Public record

Football tips with the working out shown

Every pick lists the model probability, the bookmaker's implied probability and the edge in between. Wins and losses go on the public ledger. Edited by Christian Nielsen. See our editorial policy for AI disclosure.

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Pick of the day · Mon 01 Jun, 11:00

Croatia vs Belgium

Croatia and Belgium meet in Vienna for a pre-World Cup friendly. Both managers will rotate hard. Friendlies in this window average 2.28 goals, well under 2.5. The model gives Under 2.5 a 62% chance at 1.85 odds. Edge +14.7%, two stake units.

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 1.85 Edge +14.7% Read full pick →

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